The EUROPA Final and European Championship Final
By The UK Horse Racing Tipster
Well it's been a busy old week with the York Ebor meeting and the final games in the UEFA EUROPA League Cup and the European Championship. With Sevilla set to play Inter Milan and Bayern Munich set to play PSG in their respective finals.
I actually have some bets for these games I will post up here but you should check out the facebook.com/ukhorseracingtipster page for daily free tips on both the horse racing and football.
The Horse Racing
Whilst I have been making my money by placing bets on the European Football, mainly Same Game Accumulators, Win Singles, Win Doubles and Qualifier bets I have not been forgetting the Horse Racing.
Whilst most of the "Professional Tipster" tips I pass on daily have been striking dirt instead of Gold, I have been passing on my tips.
I am not afraid to lump on to a banker like Love who won the Darley Yorkshire Oaks yesterday, or Ghaiyyath from the £££ Trainer and Jockey combo, Charlie Appleby and Wiliam Buick. A great horse who won one of the biggest turf races worldwide now, the Juddmonte International Stakes. I will probably be dutching these two in the Arc next month.
I think if Love or Ghaiyyath goes to the Arc they both have very good chances of beating Enable and Stradivarius. It will be interesting to see which horse Frankie Dettori rides as John Gosden trains both Enable and Stradivarius.
I just have a feeling that if Ryan Moore rides Love in the Arc that he will be contesting the final furlong with Ghaiyyath and not the others. I will probably dutch the ARC between those two and I will select the runners whose prices fit into my custom system that always produces at least 20% profit if one of the dutched runners wins.
Love is a big filly and has long strides, like Stradivarius she just seems to go up a gear and then cruise past opponents with long strides rather than a quickening turn of pace that is so exciting to see with Enable. Whatever happens my favourite race of the year looks set to be a good one.
The Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe Free Tips
To Win: Love to win, Ghaiyyath to come 2nd (RF or F)
To Win: Love to win, Ghaiyyath to come 2nd (RF or F)
To Place / Each Way: Stadivarious, Enable, Ghaiyyath
Dutch all if possible: Love, Ghaiyyath, Stadivarious, Enable (in that order), my system will remove any runner with a price that takes the dutch over a 20% ROI. Other calculators might not.
Recent Racing Results
Of course I don't just bet in the big races although with the condensed Flat Season we are having there are Group 1 races every week at the moment and the chance to back some strong horses. Check my Facebook page for any free Horse Racing tips for upcoming races.
Despite the professional tipsters making more money by LAYING their WIN tips than BACKING them, here are just some recent results of my own that I put up on the page. In no particular order, I just skipped over a lot of short priced favourites and place only bets which have come in.
As you can see my tips do come in now and then, however it is odd that I can seem to pick out strong favourites to back and win but the professional tipsters who supposedly live off their betting cannot seem to back a winning favourite if they tried. I tell all my readers to LAY or TRADE any pro tips on short priced favourites.
We actually had a night the other week where I showed how you can actually in the middle of the night find a low priced favourite and put a BACK bet on Sportsbook at higher odds than the Exchange. Then as soon as you press the "Confirm Bet" button you switch tabs and place a LAY bet at a higher stake and lower liability in the Exchange.
You have the whole day to get the LAY bet matched and if it's a favourite it has a good chance of winning anyway even if the LAY is not matched. We even got one runner where the prices didn't even need to be changed on the Exchange and I even managed a trade between the Sportsbook current price and the Exchange current LAY price with no changes. Those are the sort of Trades I like.
Back To The Football
Well tonight it's the UEFA EUROPA League final between Inter Milan and Sevilla who I hope Inter can beat. Hopefully this will go nicely with a double for Bayern to beat PSG. See some betting tips at the bottom of the page.
Inters 5-0 goal win against Shakhtar flattered them slightly as 3 goals were scored in the last 15 minutes but I had no doubt Robert Lakaku would do the job as I often pick players to score, or have a shot on target to boost the odds.
Crafting an SGA with teams that are hot favourites is hard if you want to get above evens. Bayern were 4/9 favourites to beat Lyon the other night. So for us to get a price of 4.38 and 7.20 in the first SGA bets that came in as winners involves adding corner spots, BTTS, and to bump the figures up even more, players to score or have a shot or two or more on target during the game.
With Inter's game against Shakhta, Romelu Lukaku was an anytime goalscorer and both he and Lautaro Martinez had to have 1 or 2 shots on target. Thankfully penalties count!
With Bayern Munich I tend to stick to the main men Serge Gnabry, Thomas Muller and of course Robert Lewandowski who never seems to let me down. Even if its the 73rd minute and he hasn't even had a shot on target yet he always seems to score crossing 2 spots off at once (Player to Score 1+ goals, Player to have 1+ shots on target), the same as with Romelu Lukaku against Shakhtar it was 2-0 up until the 72+ minute and he hadn't even crossed a shot on target off the SGA, but then he slots 2 goals in the net and gives us the SGA!
In the Man UTD v Sevilla match even though I was pretty certain Sevilla would qualify I still put down Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial as well as Lucas Ocampos to have 1 or more shots on target during the game. It all goes to boost the Same Game Accumulators price from a low evens (2.00), up to 6.69, 8.30, 7.20, 4.35 etc.
Apologies for the different sizes of the screenshots but as some bet slips won't even fit on one screen I either have to minimise the whole slip to fit it in which makes it harder to see or split it into two pictures. To see the bet slips in more details just do a single click on the image and it will open up - NOT a double click as that will just return to the same page.
Football Singles
However I don't always do Same Game Accumulators and as you can see from these Win Single bets I was backing the winners either to just win, get to the final like Bayern and of course I like to do a "next two days", straight acca like the Treble I got for PSG, Inter and Bayern Munich all to reach their finals. The PSG v RP Leipzig game was a bit tacky to bet on and although Neymar didn't score PSG managed to hustle a very under-performing RP Leipzig out of the Semi Finals.
European Cup Final Free Tips
As the UEFA EUROPA League Cup Final is tonight and the European Championship Final Sunday night our trip to the matches will come to an end. We have made a lot of money on the way betting on these Euro Elite teams and for anyone wanting to bet on the football I would suggest selecting a pool of European Football Teams that are reliable in their results, that you know how the style of football they play as that will affect whether you can reliably do Over/Under corner spots.
For a few teams who pass the ball up the pitch there is little byline action. With Goalkeepers more like Defender/Keepers now, who throw or kick the ball to a local player rather than the old days of a random goal kick into nowhere or even better the two handed boot n hope kick. The teams who use a keeper like a defender are much less likely to give away corners it seems and the usual average is 10/11 a game.
So here are my free tips for the European finals.
If you can get these prices still well done but have a look on oddschecker.com for the BOG prices.
Hopefully these final tips of the European campaigns come in and if they do they will settle yet another successful European Betting Campaign, despite COVID19 and all the topsy turvy decisions made due to it.
If betting tonight, good luck!
